Saturday, August 22, 2009

The Emergence of Meta-Life

The current scientific method that reflects the evolutionary process will be continuously refined, providing forward guidance and risk management relating to the introduction of each new technological and social innovation, through the simulation of future scenarios. A greater capacity will rapidly develop to assess future outcomes from present states based on this process, feeding these projections back to the present in a constant interplay of time-based scenarios; eventually resulting in a collapse of time with the merging of past, present and future states.

The major initial advantage will be a significant reduction in the massive risks associated with the outcomes of new technologies, which have produced such catastrophic environmental and human degradation in the past. Also implicit in meta-evolution will be the capability to achieve ultra-rapid convergence, resulting in almost instantaneous problem solving and realisation of goals.

Knowledge in this future scenario will be generated, gathered, focused, processed and applied as required in ultra-fast timeframes. Research and development times for new products and processes will collapse dramatically. The time to bring new information services and computer products to market has already been reduced from three years to three months over the past ten years. This trend is continuing, with technology companies currently introducing major product and service enhancements at the rate of one a month.

Utilising technologies such as nanotechnology, bioengineering and advanced robotics, concepts will be seamlessly transformed to designs, designs to prototypes, and prototypes to production models almost simultaneously. Engineering and scientific projects will become more gargantuan and complex, laying the foundations to extend life on earth to other star systems and galaxies; eventually utilising the limitless energy and resources of the entire universe. Although ethically and economically dubious, plans to mine the Moon and Mars are already well advanced.

Meta-evolution will also provide the energy and insight to fast-track the evolution of Meta-life. The symbiotic merging of artificial intelligence with biological life, together with human cooperation on a global basis, will, within a comparatively short timeframe, result in the emergence of meta-life as a universal form of intelligence. The logical stepping stone to this state, artificial life, is already a reality.

The essence of life, that is its basic behavioural, replicative and cognitive patterns, have been modelled as computer programs for over fifteen years. Combined with artificial intelligence and cybernetic theory, such models are now being applied in the form of computer programs, which act as extensions of human decision-making as previously described. Such agents are today relatively limited in their problem-solving capacity, but in the near future they will mirror human capabilities more closely, linking with other agents specialising in other domains and utilising complementary AI techniques.

At the same time, humans are cooperating in larger and more diverse groups via the Internet to solve more complex scientific, engineering and ethical problems. These require multi-disciplinary and real-time interaction across diverse fields of knowledge to solve the critical challenges facing life today; global warming, environmental pollution, population control, conflict mediation, disease management and the new frontiers of space exploration.

As a result, virtual communities of researchers and social advocates are already establishing a presence on the Web through social networking, virtual worlds; interacting with the aid of intelligent software to generate solutions and create alternate realities. These are the prototypes of future symbiotic communities with alternate operational and intellectual modus operandi; the early prototypes of universal meta-life.

These developments clearly demonstrate that life is now at the threshold of its most significant transformation, the symbiosis of biological and artificial life. Already few scientists or businesses operate without access to sophisticated Internet services and tools, with computer power able to be vastly augmented by Internet grids, on demand. In the near future, the links between AL and BL will be virtually seamless. Powerful AI techniques in the form of neural nets, swarm systems, fuzzy logic and evolutionary algorithms, will merge with the massive pattern analysis capacities of human intelligence; complementing human decision making at a fundamental level and creating a permanent nexus.

Evolution Mark 2.0

As human society begins to achieve a deeper and more intimate understanding of the primary evolutionary imperative shaping its destiny, a new form of evolution is likely to emerge, accelerating the already exponential pace of change to an extreme level- Evolution Mark 2.0.

The process will manifest in response to a deeper understanding by society of the implications of the evolutionary process itself. The resulting amplifying feedback will generate a glimpse of life’s true potential, accelerating the already massive momentum of evolution and resulting in a rate of change that is forecast to reach hyper-exponential levels in the near future.

If human civilisation is considered to be an information processing and learning system, then the major factors governing the rate of uptake of new knowledge are the capacity for integration into society’s institutions and cultural frameworks, together with the urgency or adaptive pressure of human survival needs.

The rapid drying of the forests four million tears ago produced great survival pressure on all species. But early hominids survived because of their cognitive, structural and social capacity to achieve bipedal locomotion, make crude tools and develop hunting and scavenging strategies consistent with a more open grassland environment.
The same imperatives apply to the capacity of modern humans to adapt to today’s major survival challenges such as global warming, ecological disasters, endemic conflict and economic collapse. Meeting these challenges involves active adaptation through problem solving – the heart of the evolutionary process.

Already an awareness of the pervasive and rapidly accelerating power of evolution is beginning to be felt through the enormous scientific, technological and social advances in our civilisation. This insight creates the evolutionary feedback loop- to actively engage evolution in helping meet today’s complex survival challenges. This further accelerates the knowledge discovery process, which in turn would generate further evolutionary insight and application.

A significant additional impetus would therefore be gained from a deeper understanding of the driving role of the evolutionary paradigm- a global awareness of the engine underlying life's progress. This would eventually create an explosive realisation of life’s future potential, as already debated by a number of eminent physicists, cosmologists and philosophers.

Such a state of hyper-evolution would lead inevitably to a more melioristic outcome for life through the acquisition and leverage of almost limitless knowledge and its by-product wisdom. The caveat that should be applied however relates to the resulting speedup of change, which would quickly reach a mind-numbing level.

As this rate increases to the point of incompatibility with the human capacity to absorb it, new social structures and modes of cognitive processing based on artificial intelligence techniques will emerge to help humans cope.

According to David Tow, this is already occurring. Even as the amount of information expands beyond human horizons, we are developing techniques to bring it under control. Like a fractal image, cybernetic life forms and intelligent machines are evolving in the same way as biological life- mutating to become increasingly intelligent. These act as proxies for humans, managing complex processes and roaming cyber-space- searching, filtering and processing data from an already overwhelming pool.

The unknown factor in this scenario is whether the level of hyper-evolution is capable of producing sudden and catastrophic regression. But optimistically, before this could engulf humanity, an adaptive process would kick in. Simulations would be performed allowing the critical threshold to be avoided until further techniques were developed to manage the potential risks.

Hyper-evolution can be expected to become a part of a new global paradigm within the next thirty years- 2040, based on current rates of knowledge growth and coinciding with the evolution of the super-intelligent Web 4.0. This will rapidly transform all aspects of our culture and civilisation, including accelerating acceptance of the global entity of meta-life, combining biological and artificial forms.

Also implicit in the notion of Evolution Mark 2.0 is the capacity of life to extract itself from the day-to-day pressure of a treadmill existence, finally becoming aware of its glittering potential- forever co-dependent on the evolutionary process.

Blog site- http://futureoflifeblog.blogspot.com

Thursday, August 20, 2009

The Future of Life - Foundations

This is the foundation blog of The Future of Life- a search for greater understanding of the evolution, meaning and prognosis of life in the Universe.

This narrative is also linked to the author's book
The Future of Life- Meta-Evolution: A Unified Theory of Evolution-
dowloadable from Google Books

This book is currently in its second revision- to be published in March 2010